Author: Charlie Croker

Catch up – November 2024

This website has been offline for about 12 months whilst I focused on some personal changes and my main Businesses.

This Post is a potted catch-up, triggered by my visit to the London Investor Show / Mello yesterday. Some great speakers, including Lord Lee, who I had heard of but never encountered – but someone I will now look out for & seek out Podcasts & books. Very similar investment philosophy to mine.

The other main change is that I have inherited some money that I have put to use into my Portfolios. Having used up my ISA and SIPP allowances I needed to open a regular Trading account. This unfortunately means I will need to pay CGT on any gains here, but so be it. I plumped for an AJ Bell Trading Account due to its good reputation and low fees. Been very happy to date.

That was then – Holdings as of July 2023

This is now (2 November 2024)

Total return includes Dividends received since purchase. Apologies for non-pretty formatting. Airtable is good, but there are some parts of Stockmarket Eye that are sorely missed. I’ll work on this.


Changes since June 2023 and commentary

Commentary

Macro changes – I received an inheritance in a couple of lump sums. Normally the number of shares I have held has been in the mid-teens. I could have carried on, but just making my minimum holding larger, however as I started to use Stocko more, more shares came up as suitable candidates. Again, realising my limitations in that I am an armchair investor, not someone that can or wants to spend all day analysing I decided to widen my Portfolio, which spreads the risk from investments on the edge of my sphere of competence. The number of different Companies I hve invested in has shot up from mid-teens to just under 50!

Towards the summer of 2024 I’d had some decent runs with some of my Property shares and, whilst not unhappy, some had really shot up and I decided to sell a few down as the prospect of a Labour Government loomed – and materialised.

Changes since June 2023 then:

Buys

  • EPWN – Epwin 72p. Window Manufacturer. Decent DY with cover. Seems a solid enough Business.
  • VP. – VP 5.79. Tool hire Business, poised for any investment in Housing benefits.
  • BRCK – Brickability 54p. Makes and sells bricks. Same philosophy as above.
  • NWG – NatWest Bank 208p, then a second tranche with it dipped to 178. No brainer really. Bank, solid figures and earnings with low PER.
  • BATS – BATS 2299p. Solid Divi payer, topped up.
  • STB – Secure Trust Bank two tranches around 700p. Again low PER, plenty of asset backing.
  • SFOR – S4 Capital 43p – Ad Agency set up by Maurice Saatchi after he left Saatchi. I think it will get absorbed into something larger one day.
  • CLI – CLS Holdings 91p – Property investment. Super yield, benefit from decreasing interest rates.
  • GTLY – Gately Holdings 125p. Professional and Legal Services/ Seems a solid Business.
  • HSS – HSS Hire. 8p. Bit of a Boom or bust punt here. Might multiply – or go to zero. Meh.
  • FDM – FDM Holdings 350p – Software house providing consultants. Decent PER and DY
  • RWS – RWS Holdings 193p & top-up at 131 – AI Software. AI is everywhere and it has a fistful of Patents. Possible takeover candidate. Topped up after a profit miss, but only just, this seems so undervalued right now.
  • JUP – Jupiter Fund Management 88p – Fund Managers seem particularly cheap at the moment
  • IMB – Imperial Brands 1687p – topping up a stalwart dividend payer
  • CRST – Crest Nicholson 188p – Topping up an out of favour Property stock
    • Sidenote. CRST was subject to a takeover bid and I normally sell using my ‘Gift Horse’ principle. I didn’t and subsequently the Bid was dropped. The shareprice fell back to its purchase level again. D’Oh.
  • EVOK (was 888) – Evoke/888 82p + top-up at 72p. Another Boom or bust share. If it can tackle its debt there is a greatly underpriced business.
  • MNG – M&G 202p – See earlier comment about Fund Managers
  • AVAP – Avation 145p – Bought after it was highlighted on Stocko. A lot of buried value here, especially in Aircraft purchase options, that other can buy to jump the queue. Some say it’s undervalued by about 50%.
  • STJ – St James Place 497p – See above, but this was also bittersweet as SJP managed the funds that were used to grow the Portfoilo. ‘Managed’ being a generous term as it managed a paltry 4% pa return. This was my way of getting my own back from the bombed-out share price and SJP Associates’ lack of care.
  • LGEN – Legal & General 228p – A stalwart that I should really have held anyway. Undervalued, decent dividend payer.
  • PRU – Prudential 696p. Been under pressure because of the China / Hing Kong connection. I have hopes that when China recovers, som Chinese Financial Business will take an interest in it. Until then, lie back and think of the Dividends.
  • PHNX – Phoenix 477p – Another High Yield player.
  • WPP – WPP 743p – A big player fallen on hard times.
  • TATE – Tate & Lyle 598p – no longer into sugar, but some interesting businesses in its portfolio.
  • RWA – Robert Walters 381p / 339 + top-up on a dip – Recruitment. Out of favour decent Company. Price dipped on what was perceived as a profit warning but I’m not convinced.
  • SDR – Schroders 341p – See above…
  • OSB – OS Bank 375p – Low PE, excellent yield.
  • KGH – Knights Group 128p – Professional Services
  • LIO – Liontrust Asset Management 581p – you know the pattern by now…
  • IOM – Iomart 88p – nice solid recurring revenues
  • HEAD – Headlam 130p – Flooring Company, fallen on hard times, but if Labour’s drive for more property builds takes off…
  • GSK – Glaxo – One of those I’ve been in and out, catching the cycles. Back in. Big, but not that big it couldn’t be swallowed up.

Buys and subsequent sells

  • VOD – Vodafone 63 / 70p – Trading the volatility whilst waiting for my existing holdings to turn a profit. One day, Rodney…
  • SSP – SSP Group 143 / 160p – Sold as it was in profit and I couldn’t actually see the reasoning as to why I had it anyway.
  • BT.A – BT Group 105 / 145p – Caught this just right when it surged after Results. Sold as I saw it as fairly valued and could better deploy my money elsewhere.
  • HFD – Halfords 149 / 146p – is it me, or do they never seem to be busy? Got my money back once you include dividends.

Sells

  • CEY – Centamin – one I have been trading on and off. Missed out on a takeover bid, unfortunately

So there you have it 12 or so months of catch up. Hopefully going forwards I’ll be more timely with my reporting. Off to buy Lord Lee’s Book.

Choosing a Share Portfolio manager – part I

What Share Portfolio manager should I choose?

At the moment I use Stockmarket Eye which, when it is working, is great for my needs (live-ish prices, charting, historic data, multiple portfolios). However, it has not been working for one reason or another since May and there is no sign of a solution on the horizon.

I have subscribed to Stockopedia, which has Portfolio Management amongst its features. However it has nowhere near as many Portfolio features as Stockmarket Eye. The hunt is on for a new package.

Requirements for a Share Portfolio Manager package:

  • Live and historic data for charting. Live with a delay is absolutely fine for my purposes.
  • Multiple portfolio support
  • Index comparisons
  • Gain / loss calculations
  • Colour coding for gains / losses etc. You don’t realise how helpful this is until you don’t have it.
  • Reasonable price – not expecting something for free, although a limited free trial is really helpful to get a feel for the features.

The (very) short list

After a quick Google I’ve come up with the following:

  • SharePad by Sharescope
  • Sharesight
  • Yahoo Finance
  • Google Finance

SharePad

This appears to be very akin to my current Stockopedia Subscription. Prices, charting, analysis, ratios and screens etc. Portfolio Management seems to be a very small subset. Parked for now. £32 / m or £347 / y

Sharesight

Touts itself just as a Portfolio tracker.

Automatically track price, performance and dividends from 240,000+ global stocks, crypto, ETFs and funds. Add cash accounts and property to get the full picture of your portfolio – all in one place.

Pricing plans: There are 4, starting at Free forever

  • Free forever. £0. 1 Portfolio, 10 holdings
  • Starter £11 / £8.25. 1 Portfolio, 30 holdings
  • Investor £19 / £14.25 4 Portfolios, unlimited holdings
  • Expert £24 / £18 10 Portfolios, unlimited holdings

(pricing is monthly or monthly equivalent if you pay annually)

There are other features, too such as custom groups, so you can group your holdings by (say) Industry, country, investment type etc.

As I run two Portfolios, that means it will be the ‘investor’ package anyway, but actually I am currently on 30 holdings. If they count the same holdings in both portfolios as double then I’m above the 30 limit as well, anyway.

I’m going to subscribe to the free version just to have a play and report back.

Yahoo Finance

Interestingly (or not), Yahoo Finance is the source of the data for Stockmarket Eye and is also the source of its current angst as it has changed the way SME can extract data.

Either way, Yahoo Finance is a pretty comprehensive source of financial data so I’ll set up a parallel Portfolio to Sharesight and see how they compare.

Google Finance

Google also offers Portfolio services, so I’ll give that a try, too.


I’ll report back in Part II, but if anyone knows of any other UK-supporting share Portfolio management software, do let me know in the comments, below. Please don’t suggest anything Excel-based, however good as I really don’t trust the data capabilities. I would much rather pay for dedicated software.

Q2 2023 Review

The Ukraine War continues, interest rates are still climbing, with more to come – but US inflation might already have peaked. Quite a few dividends received, which is nice (approximately 2% of my Portfolio this quarter from all that Reporting March / April time). Outperformed the FTSE by 3.2%.

Review written 15 July due to other demands for my time.

Sells – see individual write-ups for justifications

CEY: One of those that I just ride the cheap / expensive cycle.

888: Out of these currently. Never say never again, though but read my recent Report.

Buys – see individual write-ups for justifications

888: several tranches, now all sold. Got Lucky. See separate Posts

VOD: Top-up. C’mon, it’s got to stop dropping soon and is sitting on a great yield.

TEP: Great share at a reasonable, slightly depressed price.

IGG: High margin, online-only offering at a reasonable price for tucking away.

BATS: Top-up. Smokers gonna keep smoking and the vape Market is interesting.

SMDS: Topped up on a dip on good results. Amazon isn’t going anywhere, so packaging will be needed for a while yet.

Fewer buys and sells than the last quarter. Perhaps I am getting the hang of this Buy and Hold lark.


This quarter’s trading again shows that you never know what is around the corner and it’s never wrong to take a profit (888). Sentiment is still weighing quite heavily on the Market and if I had more cash there are certainly some very interesting shares such as JMAT, 888, IWG, PRU, PIER amongst others.

I’ve subscribed to Stockopedia this quarter, which is a great store of raw data. The discussion Boards Signal to Noise ratio compared to certain Bulletin Boards (looking at you, ADVFN) is in a different league. This is already throwing up some stocks I need to examine more closely. I’m hoping to post on a few of these in the near future.

Raw stats:

Q2 gain (adjusting for cash in and out)

Portfolio: 2%

FTSE: -1.2%

I’m more than happy with this, especially considering I have quite a few Property stocks currently weighing on it. About 4% of the gain can be attributed to the trading of 888, so. I would have made a loss otherwise – but that’s what having a Portfolio is about!

888 – what a difference a day makes

888 Holdings (LON:888) is a Betting and Gaming Company. It recently (July 2022) purchased William Hill, that it is struggling to digest (debt based purchase, so currently owes £1.4B). As well as William Hill, it also owns other big name gambling sites such as 888casino, 888sport, 888poker and Mr Green.

Whilst the debt is massive and will hold back growth, a lot (70%) of its interest payable is fixed rate and therefore not affected by recent rate rises. 30% is, however, and also a lot of its customers will also be affected with increasing mortgage rates. Will this affect turnover and Profit after interest? Undoubtedly.

The debt is, however, covered easily by net income from its activities (as of its last Report).

A couple of months ago, another Gaming Company, FS Gaming bought a 6% stake in 888 with a view (as it later transpires) to install its Directors onto the Board of 888. Longer term, perhaps the idea was to engineer a takeover from the inside. Who knows? Anyway, it put a rocket under the share price and it jumped by about 50% over the next month or so.

I held a significant number at the time and took the decision to take my money and run. Always good to take a profit. It then retreated back a fair way (about 40%) and I was pondering on a re-entry at some point. Luckily (as it turned out) the price started to climb back again, so I held off, knowing the Results were out fairly soon. I wanted a bit more certainty about current trading vs debt repayments before committing.

On Friday, out of the blue, 888 announced that it had been in discussion with FS Gaming about installing its Directors on to the Board, but it has come to light that one of the previous Businesses the Directors had been involved with was under investigation. Gaming Company Directors need to be whiter than white and the UK’s Gaming Commission was investigating this other Company, oh and at the same time it was reviewing 888’s Gaming licences. This is not good news. If 888’s licences are revoked, that’s 60% of its revenues gone in a flash, it will be unable to service its interest payments, the game will be up. 888 announced that it was immediately terminating all discussion as it sought to distance itself from FS Gaming staff.

Unsurprisingly the share price tanked 25%.

Where to from here?

Who knows?

If the Gaming Commission finds issue and revokes 888’s licence, it is toast

If FS Gaming increases its stake to over 10%, this will trigger a review, the licence will probably get revoked and 888 is toast.

If another Organisation takes a 10%+ stake and the Commission deems it unsafe, 888 is toast.

If FS maintains or sells off its stake and 888’s review is clean it will probably rocket again.

Personally I’m sitting it out until Results Day to see what that holds. I don’t have any spare cash currently anyway. I would have had to sell something else to buy in. If the results are not a disaster because of the interest rate double whammy, it might be worth a punt on 888 being given a clean Bill of Health.

In summary: It’s never wrong to take a profit and unexpected news, good or bad can come out of the blue. These can create buying and selling opportunities when Mr Market gets the pricing wrong. I got lucky in my buying and selling. I’m trying to not let that go to my head and am considering carefully whether to get back into 888.

Centamin Mining (CEY) – Buy

Aand we’re back in with a modest investment. This is one I’ve been in and out of, trying to ride the waves. So far that has paid off. Not a recommended investment method on its own, but small amounts of speculative money on top of the main Buy and Hold strategy.

All cash is now committed so will need a sale to add anything new anywhere.

I have a mental note to complete the Portfolio Q2 summary. A few things have been going on in the background, which has delayed this, but it was another quarter of outperformance.

Buy @ £0.90 with a 3-4% Dividend yield whilst I wait for the value to climb.
Portfolio %: 1.8%
Total Portfolio holdings: 1.8%

888 (888 Holdings – Sell)

Sometimes you cannot look a Gift Horse in the mouth, as they say.

Earlier on this month a couple of Gambling Companies declared a stake in 888. This has put a rocket under the share price, taking it from about 70p to about £1.20 today.

888 is a high risk stock since it bought William Hill for massive amounts of debt. Whilst a lot of it (70%) is fixed debt for a couple of years, the rest is not. In their April Trading Statement, 888 highlighted debt being a possible issue, restraining investment. Since then, inflation remains stubbornly high and rates have climbed, with more to come.

Whilst I don’t follow Sports (so take my thoughts with a pinch of salt) , I’m not aware of any significant events in 2023 that could lead to a surge in betting. Similarly, a lot of fixed rate Mortgages are coming to an end and money is going to be tighter for the remainder of 2023.

This is a Business with a high level of debt that means that any dip in earnings will put the Business into the Red. Debt payments will have a disproportionate effect on profitability. With a half-year Report due any day now, there is a not insignificant chance that earnings will be down and possibly even some sort of money raising to pay down debt.

For me the downsides currently outweigh the upsides, so I have sold all my holdings. I’ll have a muse as to what to do with the cash. TEP, IHC, CEY and ULVR are under consideration.

Sell price (ave): £1.195

Buy price (ave): £0.79

Dividend income: 0

Gain: 50% total (0% + 50%) 250% pa (I wish….)

CEY (Centamin – Sell) / 888 (888 Holdings – Buy)

OK, so after musing over the weekend I’ve swapped my Centamin Holdings for more 888.

Centamin just trundles on. I don’t think it’s ever going to make vast profits – a lot of it is given away as parts of its Joint Ventures with (say) the Egyptian Government. Reviewing figures it seems to be moderate feast and moderate famine, a lot depending on the Gold price.

Nothing fundamentally wrong with the Business but I’m happy to trade the cycles, so if it drops to double digits I’ll revisit it. I’m happy to sell at a 10% profit over 2 months.

Sell price: £1.0981

Buy price: 99.25p

Dividend income: 0

Gain: 10% total (0% + 10%) 60% pa (linear, not compounded)


As promised, I’ve topped up my 888 Holdings at 82.3p to a shade under 8% of the whole portfolio. That will do for now.

888 Holdings (888 – Buy)

Had a few dividends come through so have topped up these today. Whilst they have huge debt in relation to their Capital, the interest payments are well within their cashflow and Gambling, whatever your opinion, is a solid form of income. Following the takeover of William Hill that cashflow should start kicking in as well.

I’d like to go overweight in these but would need to sell something to do so. Mulling this option over currently. In the meantime they now represent about 5% of my Portfolio. I’d like to get that to 10%.

No chart update just yet.

Buy price: £0.83 ish
Portfolio %: 6%
Portfolio total: 8%

This Blog must in no way be construed as investment advice. I’m not an Advisor, I’m just a Private Investor that takes an interest in Stocks and Shares as a way of increasing my standard of Living & having a bit of fun. Feel free to comment. All comments are Moderated before publication, keep them relevant, short and interesting otherwise they won’t be published. My Blog, my Rules.

Don’t make me responsible for any decisions that you make off the back of anything I write here. DYour Own Research. Capice?